ThinkingSkull.com

Briefly a hurricane, Tropical Storm Ernesto is SE of Cuba and about to dart across life-giving waters full of heat and energy, but also wind shear which could cause Ernesto to turn. As of the last update, Ernesto was holding steady at 1004 mb but slowing down to between 7 and 6 mph. Meteorologists are predicting a turn likely to take it over the first coast, but that seems unlikely since it will have to sustain the core of the storm over a large portion of land to threaten the Florida Keys and re-intensify.

My current prediction: with a current lack of power and too little ocean to gather back even a Category 1 intensity, Ernesto may stall, break up, or other wise turn farther faster and sooner. Instead of the Florida Keys, Miami and the East coast of Florida will probably see plenty of rain as Ernesto turns due North and up the coast. If it can find more energy as it passes well East of Jacksonville, Ernesto may become a threat to North Carolina but likely will only be an Tropical Depression.